TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack

35K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.1%Range (90% confident): 46.7% – 47.6%Based on 35K games
0%47.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.7% – 47.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.3%3.6%51.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e4
Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack
Analyzen=35K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 47.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.7% and 47.6%), based on 35K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.4% win rate (617 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.8% win rate (1,375 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.7% win rate (3,078 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.7% win rate (6,447 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (10,360 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.5% win rate (8,559 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.0% win rate (3,568 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.5% win rate (858 games)
  • 2500+: 53.6% win rate (132 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.9% win rate (27 games)
  • Bullet: 47.6% win rate (11,097 games)
  • Blitz: 44.6% win rate (18,487 games)
  • Rapid: 43.0% win rate (5,242 games)
  • Classical: 36.8% win rate (141 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.1% expected score (144 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (332 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (139 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (406 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (758 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (207 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (915 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (1,637 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (515 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (2,045 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (3,294 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (1,073 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 39.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,988 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (5,733 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (1,570 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (2,545 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (4,635 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (1,341 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.4% expected score (37 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,382 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (1,865 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (313 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (552 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (224 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (120 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Polish Opening
52.9%
Variations (5)
Polish Opening: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Polish Opening: Birmingham Gambit
51.4%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Advance Variation
53.5%
Polish Opening: Bugayev Attack
50.7%
Polish Opening: Czech Defense
49.5%
Analyze Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate?

The Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 35K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack perform best?

The Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (132 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.6%) outperforms Classical (36.8%) by 10.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack?

The Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 44.4% (90% CI: 41.1%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 617 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 42.8% (90% CI: 40.6%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.2%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 43.7% (90% CI: 42.6%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.4%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.6%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 47.5% (90% CI: 44.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 858 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-60.6%) win rate for white, based on 132 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.4%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-45.2%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 43.0% (90% CI: 41.8%-44.1%) win rate for white (5.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack has a 36.8% (90% CI: 30.3%-43.6%) win rate for white (141 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack a good opening?

The Polish Opening: King's Indian Variation, Schiffler Attack is slightly favors black with a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.