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Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack

54K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.7%Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 56.0%Based on 54K games
0%55.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 56.0%
Outcome Distribution
53.7%3.9%42.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.h4
Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack
Analyzen=54K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 55.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.3% and 56.0%), based on 54K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.1% · Classical best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 69% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 68.7% win rate (88 games)
  • 1000-1199: 61.5% win rate (453 games)
  • 1200-1399: 58.4% win rate (1,518 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.6% win rate (2,989 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.3% win rate (6,388 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.0% win rate (10,939 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.1% win rate (15,733 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.8% win rate (13,736 games)
  • 2500+: 53.8% win rate (2,447 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (65%), worst in Blitz (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 64.7% win rate (7 games)
  • Bullet: 54.8% win rate (18,742 games)
  • Blitz: 53.0% win rate (31,177 games)
  • Rapid: 54.0% win rate (4,163 games)
  • Classical: 65.1% win rate (202 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 74.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 66.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 76.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (237 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 63.7% expected score (170 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (731 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.8% expected score (633 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (146 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (950 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (1,623 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (396 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 89.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (2,193 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (3,357 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (787 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (3,049 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (6,538 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (1,267 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 71.3% expected score (83 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (4,442 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (10,280 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (975 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (5,374 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (7,834 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.4% expected score (521 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (1,731 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (701 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 74.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack
48.0%
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack, Sveshnikov-Jansa Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation
47.5%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Kurajica Variation
49.9%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 54K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 68.7% win rate for white (88 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (65.1%) outperforms Blitz (53.0%) by 12.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack?

The Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 61.5% (90% CI: 57.7%-65.2%) win rate for white, based on 453 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 0.8% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 58.4% (90% CI: 56.3%-60.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.1%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.3%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.1%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.4%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-55.3%) win rate for white (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 65.1% (90% CI: 59.5%-70.5%) win rate for white (202 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Bayonet Attack is statistically favors white with a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.