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Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit

770K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 48.9%Based on 770K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%3.4%49.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nf3
Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit
Analyzen=770K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 48.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 48.9%), based on 770K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +6.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.1% win rate (43,575 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.1% win rate (84,711 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.0% win rate (126,174 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (150,795 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.4% win rate (142,389 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (113,098 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (67,860 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (35,626 games)
  • 2500+: 51.6% win rate (5,362 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.8% win rate (6,240 games)
  • Bullet: 48.1% win rate (427,609 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (265,141 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (68,813 games)
  • Classical: 40.9% win rate (1,787 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (112 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (17,112 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (19,102 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (7,195 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (354 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (38,354 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (34,704 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (11,138 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.6% expected score (161 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (1,020 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (60,286 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (49,151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15,358 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (359 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (1,789 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (75,140 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (57,507 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (15,671 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (688 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.5% expected score (1,192 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (77,738 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (51,408 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (11,709 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (342 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (743 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (70,875 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (35,322 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (6,000 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (158 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.0% expected score (650 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (51,068 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (14,606 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (1,512 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (354 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (31,851 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (3,193 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (227 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (5,185 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Pirc Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack
48.0%
Pirc Defense: 150 Attack, Sveshnikov-Jansa Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack
51.7%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Dragon Formation
47.5%
Pirc Defense: Austrian Attack, Kurajica Variation
49.9%
Analyze Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate?

The Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 770K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit perform best?

The Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (5.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.1%) outperforms Classical (40.9%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit?

The Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 85K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 126K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 151K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 142K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 113K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.8%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.2%) win rate for white (428K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.3%) win rate for white (265K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 44.4% (90% CI: 44.0%-44.7%) win rate for white (69K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit has a 40.9% (90% CI: 39.0%-42.8%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit a good opening?

The Pirc Defense: Roscher Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.