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Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation

89K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 46.3%Based on 89K games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 46.3%
Outcome Distribution
44.0%4.0%52.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...d5
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation
Analyzen=89K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 46.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 46.3%), based on 89K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 92.3 · Trap factor: +3.5 · n=89K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.0% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 40.6% win rate (15,549 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.9% win rate (9,858 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.1% win rate (9,520 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.4% win rate (11,478 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.0% win rate (12,743 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (13,585 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.2% win rate (10,305 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.1% win rate (5,257 games)
  • 2500+: 43.4% win rate (897 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.9% win rate (883 games)
  • Bullet: 46.1% win rate (35,410 games)
  • Blitz: 43.6% win rate (35,098 games)
  • Rapid: 40.5% win rate (17,127 games)
  • Classical: 32.5% win rate (674 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.2% expected score (2,712 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (6,653 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (6,098 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 34.3% expected score (75 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (2,638 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (3,942 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (3,100 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 35.0% expected score (151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.2% expected score (62 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (3,296 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (3,950 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (2,096 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.9% expected score (116 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.2% expected score (218 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (4,535 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (4,741 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (1,827 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (157 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.0% expected score (153 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (5,588 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (5,440 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (1,480 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 33.8% expected score (82 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (154 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (6,763 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (5,224 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (1,371 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (186 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (5,657 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (3,520 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (924 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (3,533 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (1,437 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (226 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (688 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (191 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Three Knights Game
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Italian Variation
50.9%
Petrov's Defense: Stafford Gambit
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack
51.5%
Petrov's Defense: Damiano Variation
58.6%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 89K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.2% win rate for white (9.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (62.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.0%) by 13.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.3%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 897 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 46.2%-51.8%) win rate for white (883 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.3%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.3%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.9%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation has a 62.0% (90% CI: 58.9%-65.0%) win rate for white (674 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Symmetrical Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.