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Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation

7.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.6%Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 50.6%Based on 7.3K games
0%49.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.3%8.6%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Re1
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
Analyzen=7.3K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness91%
Draw Rate8.6%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 49.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 50.6%), based on 7.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.1% win rate (12 games)
  • 1200-1399: 39.8% win rate (55 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.9% win rate (228 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.6% win rate (657 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.8% win rate (1,651 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.9% win rate (2,380 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.7% win rate (1,824 games)
  • 2500+: 50.1% win rate (453 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Classical (41%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.2% win rate (1,755 games)
  • Blitz: 45.7% win rate (4,349 games)
  • Rapid: 42.8% win rate (1,070 games)
  • Classical: 41.4% win rate (89 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 37.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 35.5% expected score (78 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (212 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (369 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (67 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (272 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (1,051 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (299 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (396 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (1,572 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (377 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (546 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (1,026 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (240 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (223 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (187 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 68.6% expected score (39 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Closed Variation
51.8%
Continuations (2)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (453 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.7%) outperforms Classical (41.4%) by 4.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a sharpness score of 91.4 (decisive), meaning 91.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 39.9% (90% CI: 34.6%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 228 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 42.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 657 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.8%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 41.2%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.8%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 46.2%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 453 Lichess games. Average game length is 52 moves with a 19.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 44.2%-48.2%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.9%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation has a 42.8% (90% CI: 40.3%-45.3%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.5%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation is statistically balanced with a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.