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Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation

72K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.1%Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 45.4%Based on 72K games
0%45.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 45.4%
Outcome Distribution
43.2%3.8%53.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...b5
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation
Analyzen=72K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 45.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.8% and 45.4%), based on 72K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~39%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.1% win rate (6,173 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.5% win rate (5,542 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.0% win rate (7,503 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.7% win rate (10,363 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.1% win rate (11,028 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.7% win rate (10,566 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.3% win rate (10,212 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.2% win rate (8,336 games)
  • 2500+: 40.4% win rate (2,240 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (44%), worst in Classical (35%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 39.4% win rate (795 games)
  • Bullet: 44.2% win rate (38,379 games)
  • Blitz: 43.2% win rate (26,487 games)
  • Rapid: 37.3% win rate (6,012 games)
  • Classical: 34.8% win rate (290 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (1,800 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (3,114 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (1,217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (1,650 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (2,825 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 37.4% expected score (987 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (126 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (3,031 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (3,307 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (984 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (55 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 32.5% expected score (218 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (4,754 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (4,193 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (1,087 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (111 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (179 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (5,578 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (4,442 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 40.8% expected score (795 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (138 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (6,282 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (3,634 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (490 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 35.2% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (6,985 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (2,885 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (6,370 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (1,779 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (161 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (1,929 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (308 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Larsen Attack
51.1%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Modern Variation
49.9%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Classical Variation
50.2%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Indian Variation
49.2%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation
50.2%
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Symmetrical Variation
49.8%
Analyze Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 72K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.3% win rate for white (5.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (59.1%) outperforms Blitz (51.9%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.5%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 56.2%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.0%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 59.1% (90% CI: 56.2%-61.9%) win rate for white (795 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.4%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 55.7%-57.8%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 52.7%-62.2%) win rate for white (290 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: Polish Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.