Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation

2.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.0%Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.0%Based on 2.3M games
0%48.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.0%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%3.6%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...c5
Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation
Analyzen=2.3M
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 48.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 48.0%), based on 2.3M Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.9% win rate (26,545 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.7% win rate (57,513 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.7% win rate (143,042 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.4% win rate (284,312 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.0% win rate (437,904 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.3% win rate (510,096 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (452,985 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.3% win rate (349,455 games)
  • 2500+: 40.7% win rate (82,707 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (46%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.6% win rate (23,512 games)
  • Bullet: 46.1% win rate (1,636,219 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (594,414 games)
  • Rapid: 46.3% win rate (87,522 games)
  • Classical: 43.1% win rate (2,892 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (184 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (10,986 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (12,174 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (3,179 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.5% expected score (545 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (27,533 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (23,556 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (5,754 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (125 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (1,615 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (77,844 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (52,478 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (10,801 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.5% expected score (304 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (4,019 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (159,739 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (100,991 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (18,753 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (810 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.5% expected score (8,485 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (266,342 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (139,898 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (22,320 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (859 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.8% expected score (6,148 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (347,770 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (138,553 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (17,056 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (569 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (2,027 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (354,751 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (88,415 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (7,628 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (164 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (480 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (312,385 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (34,610 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (1,944 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (78,869 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (3,739 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (83K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.4%) outperforms Rapid (48.9%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 143K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 284K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 438K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 510K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 453K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 349K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.0%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate for white (1.6M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.3%) win rate for white (594K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate for white (88K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.6%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Larsen Attack: English Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.