Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation

265K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.7%Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 51.9%Based on 265K games
0%51.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 51.9%
Outcome Distribution
49.5%4.3%46.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...O-O
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation
Analyzen=265K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 51.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 51.9%), based on 265K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.6% win rate (1,400 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.6% win rate (5,924 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.3% win rate (17,109 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (36,570 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.0% win rate (55,173 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (57,041 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (43,982 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.6% win rate (37,823 games)
  • 2500+: 54.8% win rate (9,502 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.0% win rate (62 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (64,481 games)
  • Blitz: 49.7% win rate (160,654 games)
  • Rapid: 46.4% win rate (37,542 games)
  • Classical: 43.4% win rate (1,785 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (645 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (610 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (143 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (2,405 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (3,001 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (507 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (5,359 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (9,863 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,838 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (8,954 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (22,234 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (5,151 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (210 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (10,599 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (34,303 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (9,713 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (539 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (10,712 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (34,114 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (11,563 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (637 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (10,077 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (27,330 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (6,282 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (291 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (11,016 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (24,595 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (2,164 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (4,714 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (4,604 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (181 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 265K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.8% win rate for white (9.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.0%) by 3.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.5%) win rate for white (64K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.9%) win rate for white (161K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.8%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation has a 43.4% (90% CI: 41.4%-45.3%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.