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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation

2.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 53.1%Based on 2.0K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
39.6%23.3%37.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...b6
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation
Analyzen=2.0K
Avg Length42 moves
Sharpness77%
Draw Rate23.3%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 51.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.5% and 53.1%), based on 2.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.4% · Blitz best · Rapid worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 79% → 10%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 78.9% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.8% win rate (58 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.8% win rate (140 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.9% win rate (240 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (426 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.4% win rate (354 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.7% win rate (231 games)
  • 2500+: 10.2% win rate (472 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (43%), worst in Classical (30%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 32.5% win rate (538 games)
  • Blitz: 42.9% win rate (1,064 games)
  • Rapid: 41.6% win rate (312 games)
  • Classical: 29.9% win rate (47 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 34.5% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (76 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (64 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (145 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 68.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (92 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (252 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 64.1% expected score (73 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 28.4% expected score (54 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (234 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (62 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (55 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (139 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (191 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (172 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (84 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (25 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation
50.0%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation
48.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation
49.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation
51.8%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 37.1% (90% CI: 35.3%-38.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 61.3% win rate for white (58 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (39.5%) outperforms Rapid (30.1%) by 9.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a sharpness score of 76.7 (drawish), meaning 76.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 42 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 140 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 40.4% (90% CI: 35.2%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 240 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 41.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 426 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 44.7%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 354 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 37.9%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 7.5% (90% CI: 5.6%-9.6%) win rate for white, based on 472 Lichess games. Average game length is 63 moves with a 82.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 37.9% (90% CI: 34.5%-41.4%) win rate for white (538 Lichess games). Draw rate is 29.6%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 39.5% (90% CI: 37.0%-41.9%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 17.6%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation has a 30.1% (90% CI: 26.0%-34.5%) win rate for white (312 Lichess games). Draw rate is 28.2%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Gligoric System, Keres Variation is slightly favors black with a 37.1% (90% CI: 35.3%-38.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.