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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit

29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

48.6%

45%55%
Floor48.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.1%.

Measured over 29K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 29K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
29K
Best context
52.4% at 1200-1399 Bullet
Worst context
46.7% at 1200-1399 Blitz
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
97.2%
Draws
2.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: −1.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.3% · Bullet best · UltraBullet worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 49.6%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (184 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 37.5% expected score (142 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (565 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (485 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 35.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,154 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (1,070 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (197 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (1,996 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (1,881 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (340 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (3,154 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (2,838 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (394 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (3,987 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (2,976 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (352 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (3,375 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (1,329 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (142 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,940 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (331 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 66.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (247 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation
50.0%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Leningrad Variation
48.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation
49.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Kmoch Variation
51.8%
Analyze Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit scores 48.6% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.2% and 49.1% — from 29K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
29K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate?

Playing the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit, White wins 47.2%, draws 2.8% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 29K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 54.4% (264 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 46.8% in Blitz (11K games) against 44.7% in Rapid (1.6K games).

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 40.2%, draws 2.8% and loses 57.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.6%. It rests on 380 Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 45.1%, draws 2.3% and loses 52.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 48.2%, draws 2.2% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 46.6%, draws 2.6% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 4.3K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 46.8%, draws 2.7% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 6.5K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 47.1%, draws 3.0% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 7.3K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 48.0%, draws 3.1% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 4.9K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 48.4%, draws 3.5% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.2%. It rests on 2.3K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 52.2%, draws 4.3% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 264 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 38.9%, draws 1.4% and loses 59.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.6%. It rests on 172 Lichess games.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 49.2%, draws 2.3% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 17K Lichess games.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 45.0%, draws 3.6% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 11K Lichess games.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 42.7%, draws 3.8% and loses 53.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.7%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Dilworth Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 47.2% of its games and loses 50.0%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.