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Analyzer

Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense

16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 50.5%Based on 16K games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 50.5%
Outcome Distribution
46.8%5.9%47.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...h5
Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense
Analyzen=16K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 49.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 50.5%), based on 16K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 27% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.2% win rate (20 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.4% win rate (25 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (116 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.9% win rate (523 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.6% win rate (2,137 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.4% win rate (3,787 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.2% win rate (6,920 games)
  • 2500+: 49.6% win rate (2,601 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (79%), worst in Blitz (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 78.9% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (6,598 games)
  • Blitz: 46.6% win rate (8,796 games)
  • Rapid: 46.8% win rate (715 games)
  • Classical: 48.6% win rate (16 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (56 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (308 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (67 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (741 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (1,241 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (150 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (992 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (2,537 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (253 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (2,720 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (3,999 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (197 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,934 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (643 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Modern Defense
48.7%
Variations (5)
Modern Defense: Anti-Modern
53.1%
Modern Defense: Averbakh System
49.0%
Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch
49.5%
Modern Defense: Beefeater Variation
45.4%
Modern Defense: Bishop Attack
49.2%
Analyze Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate?

The Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense perform best?

The Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.1%) outperforms Rapid (46.8%) by 0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense?

The Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.2%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 116 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 45.9% (90% CI: 42.3%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 523 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.8%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-48.1%) win rate for white (6.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.5%) win rate for white (8.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 43.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (715 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense a good opening?

The Modern Defense: Gurgenidze Defense is statistically balanced with a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.