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Analyzer

King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit

30K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.8%Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 48.3%Based on 30K games
0%47.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 48.3%
Outcome Distribution
45.9%3.8%50.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nxc6
King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit
Analyzen=30K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 47.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.3% and 48.3%), based on 30K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.3% win rate (1,107 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (2,052 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.0% win rate (3,464 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.6% win rate (4,737 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.4% win rate (5,913 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.9% win rate (6,243 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.3% win rate (4,050 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.1% win rate (2,117 games)
  • 2500+: 49.9% win rate (306 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (49%), worst in UltraBullet (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.5% win rate (31 games)
  • Bullet: 44.6% win rate (9,005 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (17,131 games)
  • Rapid: 46.1% win rate (3,732 games)
  • Classical: 48.6% win rate (90 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (324 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (587 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (193 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (471 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (1,259 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (320 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (833 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (2,002 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (608 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (1,099 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (2,673 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (921 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (1,443 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (3,559 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (886 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (1,742 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (3,914 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (573 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (1,401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (2,435 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (206 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,420 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (671 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (272 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.4% expected score (31 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening
48.3%
King's Pawn Game: Bavarian Gambit
49.5%
King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit
53.4%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
47.3%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 30K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (2.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (46.5%) outperforms Classical (48.6%) by -2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit?

The King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 40.9%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.0%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.4%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 45.2%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 306 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.7%-45.4%) win rate for white (9.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.1%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.8%-47.5%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Weber Gambit is slightly favors black with a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.