King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack

6.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.5%Based on 6.0M games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.5%
Outcome Distribution
50.5%3.7%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Qf3
King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack
Analyzen=6.0M
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.5%), based on 6.0M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 18%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.0% win rate (1,251,790 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (1,329,910 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.8% win rate (1,370,021 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (1,117,893 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.8% win rate (605,572 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.8% win rate (234,603 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (62,278 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (13,987 games)
  • 2500+: 17.9% win rate (716 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.5% win rate (43,912 games)
  • Bullet: 52.2% win rate (1,575,439 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (3,055,210 games)
  • Rapid: 49.0% win rate (1,269,000 games)
  • Classical: 47.1% win rate (43,209 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (4,113 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (260,907 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (655,657 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (328,220 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (2,893 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (9,363 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (280,150 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (734,618 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (297,735 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (8,044 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (13,353 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (320,668 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (741,944 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (281,556 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (12,500 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (11,920 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (294,404 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (574,038 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (223,765 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13,766 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (4,075 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (229,589 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (255,008 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (111,689 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (5,211 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (1,048 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (128,449 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (80,710 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (23,684 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (712 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (48,852 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (11,105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (2,217 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (72 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (12,129 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,716 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (125 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (291 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (414 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Analyze King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.0M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.5%) outperforms Classical (47.1%) by 6.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack?

The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4M Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 606K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 235K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 17.9% (90% CI: 15.6%-20.3%) win rate for white, based on 716 Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 66.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.9%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.3%) win rate for white (1.6M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.3%) win rate for white (3.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.1%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.5%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.