What is the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack expected score for White?
At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.5%), based on 6.0M Lichess games.
6.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.5%), based on 6.0M Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 50% → 18%
Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (47%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.0M rated games from Lichess.
The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (53.5%) outperforms Classical (47.1%) by 6.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4M Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 606K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 235K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 17.9% (90% CI: 15.6%-20.3%) win rate for white, based on 716 Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 66.0% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.9%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.
In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.3%) win rate for white (1.6M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.
In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.3%) win rate for white (3.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.
In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.1%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.5%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
The King's Pawn Game: Napoleon Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.