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King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense

3.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.1%Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 53.1%Based on 3.4M games
0%53.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%4.8%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...e5
King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense
Analyzen=3.4M
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 53.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.0% and 53.1%), based on 3.4M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.1% win rate (380,448 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.5% win rate (510,706 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.1% win rate (565,600 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.4% win rate (564,468 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (516,210 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.7% win rate (446,806 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.2% win rate (265,339 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (112,213 games)
  • 2500+: 48.8% win rate (15,856 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in UltraBullet (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.7% win rate (17,040 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (1,298,264 games)
  • Blitz: 50.9% win rate (1,530,931 games)
  • Rapid: 52.2% win rate (512,725 games)
  • Classical: 54.1% win rate (18,686 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (663 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (79,606 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (215,962 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (83,590 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (627 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (1,537 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (127,393 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (259,495 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (119,844 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (2,437 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (3,954 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (178,963 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (262,137 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (115,147 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (5,399 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (5,144 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (218,962 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (250,050 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (84,339 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (5,973 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (3,903 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (229,354 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (222,562 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (57,489 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.0% expected score (2,902 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (1,168 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (216,759 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (193,561 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (34,325 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (993 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (448 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (152,978 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (96,238 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (15,372 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (303 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.7% expected score (212 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (80,010 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (29,356 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (2,584 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (51 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (14,239 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (1,570 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 66.5% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening
48.3%
King's Pawn Game: Bavarian Gambit
49.5%
King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit
53.4%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
47.3%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (511K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (54.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.7%) by 4.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense?

The King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 380K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 511K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 566K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 564K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 516K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 447K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 265K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 112K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.3%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-49.9%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white (1.5M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.3%) win rate for white (513K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.7%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Maróczy Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.