What is the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 55.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.5% and 55.7%), based on 1.1M Lichess games.
1.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 55.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.5% and 55.7%), based on 1.1M Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 51% → 57%
Best in Classical (56%), worst in UltraBullet (50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M rated games from Lichess.
The King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.0% win rate for white (3.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (56.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.0%) by 6.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 210K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 54.2%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 197K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.3%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 180K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 161K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 137K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 107K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 59K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.6%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.8%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.
In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.6%) win rate for white (303K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-53.8%) win rate for white (492K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.1%) win rate for white (263K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.
In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit has a 56.4% (90% CI: 55.6%-57.2%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
The King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.