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King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening

532K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.1%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.2%Based on 532K games
0%50.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.2%
Outcome Distribution
48.3%3.7%48.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Ne2
King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening
Analyzen=532K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.2%), based on 532K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 44% → 35%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.8% win rate (51,042 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.4% win rate (59,673 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.6% win rate (80,476 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (92,402 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.2% win rate (121,628 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (84,124 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (32,370 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.4% win rate (9,261 games)
  • 2500+: 35.2% win rate (1,120 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.9% win rate (1,973 games)
  • Bullet: 49.1% win rate (133,494 games)
  • Blitz: 48.3% win rate (285,036 games)
  • Rapid: 47.1% win rate (107,941 games)
  • Classical: 46.1% win rate (3,652 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.8% expected score (53 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (8,362 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (26,970 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (15,475 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (182 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.3% expected score (109 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (15,140 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (29,343 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (14,675 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (406 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.2% expected score (251 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (20,487 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (41,552 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (17,557 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (629 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (707 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (19,148 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (50,351 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (21,012 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (1,184 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (790 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (26,893 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (70,136 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (22,804 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (1,005 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (23,602 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (48,600 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (11,674 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (216 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (12,857 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (15,113 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (4,357 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (6,265 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (2,614 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (371 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (740 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (357 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Bavarian Gambit
49.5%
King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit
53.4%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
47.3%
King's Pawn Game: Clam Variation, King's Gambit Reversed
48.6%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 532K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 49.4% win rate for white (84K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.9%) outperforms Classical (46.1%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 80K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 122K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 84K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 35.2% (90% CI: 32.8%-37.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 35.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.1%-55.8%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate for white (133K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.4%) win rate for white (285K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white (108K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.7%-47.4%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening is statistically balanced with a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.