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King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit

138K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.3%Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.5%Based on 138K games
0%49.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.5%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%5.5%47.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...c5
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit
Analyzen=138K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 49.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.1% and 49.5%), based on 138K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -0.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~39%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.4% win rate (48 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.4% win rate (329 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.3% win rate (825 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.4% win rate (2,525 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (7,038 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (21,430 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (44,467 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.2% win rate (50,640 games)
  • 2500+: 40.4% win rate (11,088 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 46.3% win rate (60,600 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (70,706 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (6,770 games)
  • Classical: 46.4% win rate (308 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (201 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (107 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (416 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (346 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (1,201 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (1,137 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (169 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 39.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (3,353 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (3,244 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (408 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (7,610 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (12,435 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (1,295 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (90 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (14,446 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (27,153 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (2,733 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (135 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (24,885 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (23,753 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (1,967 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (8,460 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (2,514 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (112 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 138K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.0% win rate for white (329 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.4%) outperforms Classical (39.6%) by 9.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-61.5%) win rate for white, based on 329 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 49.6%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 825 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white (61K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.5%) win rate for white (71K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.8%-44.8%) win rate for white (6.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit has a 39.6% (90% CI: 35.1%-44.2%) win rate for white (308 Lichess games). Draw rate is 14.1%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Sämisch Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.