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King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation

47K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.2%Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.6%Based on 47K games
0%51.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%4.8%46.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.d5
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation
Analyzen=47K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 51.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.6%), based on 47K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.8% win rate (386 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.1% win rate (1,176 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (2,425 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.4% win rate (4,322 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.7% win rate (6,440 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.6% win rate (9,418 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.6% win rate (10,774 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.2% win rate (9,658 games)
  • 2500+: 52.6% win rate (2,733 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.9% win rate (81 games)
  • Bullet: 50.1% win rate (11,725 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (27,914 games)
  • Rapid: 47.7% win rate (7,170 games)
  • Classical: 50.6% win rate (442 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (174 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (184 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (453 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (574 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (146 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (732 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (1,259 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (421 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (1,083 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (2,336 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (859 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (1,076 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (3,874 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (1,374 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,527 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (5,722 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (1,967 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (183 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,816 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (7,217 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (1,620 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (110 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (3,150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (5,770 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (715 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (1,714 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (978 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 69.3% expected score (40 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Continuations (3)
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Keres Defense
51.7%
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Normal Defense
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation, Stein Defense
46.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 47K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (2.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.9%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 386 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.4%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.9%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.1%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.7%) win rate for white (7.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-54.5%) win rate for white (442 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Petrosian Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.