King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation
162K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
54.2%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 54.4%.
Measured over 162K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 5.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 162K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 162K
- Best context
- 59.2% at 2500+ Blitz
- Worst context
- 52.2% at 1200-1399 Blitz
- Average game length
- 38 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.1%
- Draws
- 5.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 53.0% at 0-999, 66.3% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.0% expected score (68 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (88 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 62.3% expected score (23 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (336 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (295 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (81 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (820 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (823 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (216 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (2,016 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (2,085 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (510 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (24 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (41 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (4,205 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (5,195 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (1,010 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (76 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 37.3% expected score (69 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (9,201 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (12,888 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (1,882 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (137 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (53 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (19,911 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (22,570 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (2,437 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.3% expected score (112 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (36,332 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (18,369 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (1,587 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (17,089 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (1,720 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 66.8% expected score (64 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation scores 54.2% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 54.0% and 54.4% — from 162K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 162K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate?
Playing the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, White wins 51.2%, draws 5.9% and loses 42.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 162K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation perform best?
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.2% (19K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 54.7% in Blitz (64K games) against 55.5% in Rapid (7.8K games).
How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation?
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 49.6%, draws 3.0% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 179 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 52.1%, draws 3.6% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 715 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 51.8%, draws 3.6% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 54.0%, draws 3.4% and loses 42.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.7%. It rests on 4.7K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 51.9%, draws 4.3% and loses 43.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.1%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 50.5%, draws 4.9% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 24K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 51.1%, draws 5.7% and loses 43.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 45K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 50.8%, draws 6.5% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.1%. It rests on 56K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 52.4%, draws 7.6% and loses 40.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.2%. It rests on 19K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 47.8%, draws 2.1% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 215 Lichess games.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 51.2%, draws 5.0% and loses 43.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 90K Lichess games.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 51.2%, draws 6.9% and loses 41.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.7%. It rests on 64K Lichess games.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 51.6%, draws 7.7% and loses 40.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.5%. It rests on 7.8K Lichess games.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 53.1%, draws 7.2% and loses 39.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.7%. It rests on 380 Lichess games.
Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation a good opening?
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.2% of its games and loses 42.9%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.