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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System

218K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

48.7%

45%55%
Floor48.5%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.8%.

Measured over 218K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 6.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 218K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
218K
Best context
51.4% at 1200-1399 Bullet
Worst context
43.6% at 2500+ Blitz
Average game length
39 moves
Games that end decisively
93.7%
Draws
6.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 53.4% at 0-999, 40.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (74 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (108 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (343 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (319 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (105 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (983 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (891 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (239 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,302 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (2,563 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (596 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (5,021 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (7,325 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (1,292 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (11,128 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (19,977 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (3,114 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (193 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 28.2% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (21,159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (35,626 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (4,114 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (154 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (40,008 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (30,904 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (2,789 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (21,561 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (4,345 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 31.6% expected score (96 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System scores 48.7% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.5% and 48.8% — from 218K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
218K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate?

Playing the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System, Black wins 45.5%, draws 6.3% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 218K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System performs best for Black at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 49.7% (34K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 48.5% in Blitz (102K games) against 48.0% in Rapid (12K games).

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System has a sharpness score of 93.7 (decisive), meaning 93.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 49.9%, draws 5.2% and loses 44.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 218 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 49.2%, draws 3.4% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 770 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 47.9%, draws 3.0% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 46.8%, draws 3.5% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 5.5K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.6%, draws 4.5% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 47.0%, draws 5.3% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 34K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 46.5%, draws 6.2% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 61K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 44.7%, draws 6.9% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 74K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 41.6%, draws 8.3% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.8%. It rests on 26K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 40.8%, draws 4.2% and loses 54.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.0%. It rests on 105 Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 46.3%, draws 5.2% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 103K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 44.9%, draws 7.2% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 102K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 43.9%, draws 8.1% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 12K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 37.8%, draws 13.4% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 531 Lichess games.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Uhlmann-Szabo System is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.5% of its games and loses 48.2%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.