TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score54.2%Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 55.0%Based on 11K games
0%54.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 55.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.8%6.8%42.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...e6
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.8%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 54.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 55.0%), based on 11K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (15 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (54 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.9% win rate (179 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.8% win rate (397 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (1,034 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (2,793 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.8% win rate (4,608 games)
  • 2500+: 57.6% win rate (1,467 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in Rapid (46%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.9% win rate (3,184 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (6,717 games)
  • Rapid: 46.2% win rate (608 games)
  • Classical: 54.2% win rate (40 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (77 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (87 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (151 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (203 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (303 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (626 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (88 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (656 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (1,889 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (233 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (985 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (3,412 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (205 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (979 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (466 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 67.0% expected score (22 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.6% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.9%) outperforms Rapid (46.2%) by 7.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line?

The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 93.2 (decisive), meaning 93.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 47.9% (90% CI: 41.8%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 179 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 51.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 397 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 50.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 57.6% (90% CI: 55.5%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.5%-55.4%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.8%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line has a 46.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-49.5%) win rate for white (608 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.4%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.