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King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.8%Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 48.3%Based on 39K games
0%47.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 48.3%
Outcome Distribution
44.2%7.3%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...b5
King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.3%

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 47.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.4% and 48.3%), based on 39K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 37% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 37.3% win rate (142 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.5% win rate (103 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.3% win rate (132 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.7% win rate (209 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.2% win rate (449 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.7% win rate (1,678 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.8% win rate (6,969 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.7% win rate (19,064 games)
  • 2500+: 40.1% win rate (10,247 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (69%), worst in Bullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 69.2% win rate (18 games)
  • Bullet: 43.1% win rate (14,361 games)
  • Blitz: 44.7% win rate (22,774 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (1,755 games)
  • Classical: 46.8% win rate (85 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (68 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (67 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (68 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (87 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (175 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (207 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 40.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (464 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (1,052 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (1,534 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (5,029 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (387 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (5,886 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (12,279 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (879 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (6,192 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (3,934 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (121 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Attack
51.3%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Attack: Symmetrical Defense
50.0%
King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation
53.3%
King's Indian Attack: French Variation
51.7%
King's Indian Attack: Yugoslav Variation
50.5%
King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation
51.7%
Analyze King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (10K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.3%) outperforms Classical (42.2%) by 9.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation?

The King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a sharpness score of 92.7 (decisive), meaning 92.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-64.2%) win rate for white, based on 142 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 44.1%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 103 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 132 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 0.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-60.5%) win rate for white, based on 209 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 45.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 449 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.0%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.6%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.3%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.4%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

Is the King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Attack: Spassky Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.