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King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation

333K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 46.1%Based on 333K games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 46.1%
Outcome Distribution
43.6%4.7%51.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nd7
King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation
Analyzen=333K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 46.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 46.1%), based on 333K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.0% win rate (15,151 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.7% win rate (27,593 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.2% win rate (41,477 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.9% win rate (55,054 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.7% win rate (57,893 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.9% win rate (51,676 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.7% win rate (37,964 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.9% win rate (32,209 games)
  • 2500+: 39.8% win rate (13,952 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (44%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.5% win rate (4,954 games)
  • Bullet: 42.9% win rate (116,210 games)
  • Blitz: 44.1% win rate (163,560 games)
  • Rapid: 43.8% win rate (46,530 games)
  • Classical: 40.3% win rate (1,715 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (3,385 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (8,415 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (3,315 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (6,292 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (15,154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (6,002 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (92 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.9% expected score (176 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (10,028 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (21,552 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (9,402 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (319 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (715 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (14,578 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (28,041 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (11,182 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (538 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (1,399 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (17,693 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (29,739 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (8,592 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (470 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.0% expected score (1,576 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (20,671 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (24,324 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (4,911 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (194 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (743 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (17,952 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (17,151 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (2,064 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.4% expected score (218 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (16,069 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (14,933 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (962 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 32.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 32.6% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (9,542 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (4,251 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (100 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Attack
51.3%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Attack: Symmetrical Defense
50.0%
King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation
53.3%
King's Indian Attack: French Variation
51.7%
King's Indian Attack: Yugoslav Variation
50.5%
King's Indian Attack: Wahls Defense
50.0%
Analyze King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 333K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.2% win rate for white (38K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.2%) outperforms Blitz (50.8%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation?

The King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.0%-55.3%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.5%) win rate for white (116K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate for white (164K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.5%) win rate for white (47K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 52.1%-56.1%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.