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King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation

907K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.5%Range (90% confident): 44.4% – 44.6%Based on 907K games
0%44.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.4% – 44.6%
Outcome Distribution
42.2%4.5%53.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Re1
King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation
Analyzen=907K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 44.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.4% and 44.6%), based on 907K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.1% win rate (11,293 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.9% win rate (22,925 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.7% win rate (42,560 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.3% win rate (79,459 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.7% win rate (130,385 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.7% win rate (178,658 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.8% win rate (194,459 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.5% win rate (193,164 games)
  • 2500+: 37.4% win rate (53,738 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.4% win rate (9,808 games)
  • Bullet: 41.8% win rate (504,884 games)
  • Blitz: 42.5% win rate (327,832 games)
  • Rapid: 43.7% win rate (61,428 games)
  • Classical: 43.6% win rate (2,689 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (3,503 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (5,820 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (1,907 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (134 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (7,957 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (11,158 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (3,605 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (71 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (540 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (17,360 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (18,487 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (5,985 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (188 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.6% expected score (1,636 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (34,616 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (33,542 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (9,225 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (440 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.2% expected score (2,944 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (57,458 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (56,920 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (12,298 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (765 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.1% expected score (2,492 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (90,677 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (71,808 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (12,992 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (689 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (1,318 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (110,269 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (72,722 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9,785 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (365 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 40.8% expected score (666 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (136,527 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (50,515 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (5,333 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.6% expected score (123 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 35.8% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (46,517 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (6,860 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (298 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (33 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Attack
51.3%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Attack: Symmetrical Defense
50.0%
King's Indian Attack: French Variation
51.7%
King's Indian Attack: Yugoslav Variation
50.5%
King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation
51.7%
King's Indian Attack: Wahls Defense
50.0%
Analyze King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 907K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (54K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (55.7%) outperforms Classical (48.5%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation?

The King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 130K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 179K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 194K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.0%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 193K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.9%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 54.9%-56.5%) win rate for white (9.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.3%) win rate for white (505K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.5%) win rate for white (328K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.9%) win rate for white (61K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.9%-50.1%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.