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King's Indian Attack: French Variation

808K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.3%Range (90% confident): 46.2% – 46.4%Based on 808K games
0%46.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.2% – 46.4%
Outcome Distribution
44.2%4.1%51.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nc6
King's Indian Attack: French Variation
Analyzen=808K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 46.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.2% and 46.4%), based on 808K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.9% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.2% win rate (5,878 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.1% win rate (15,225 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.9% win rate (32,743 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.4% win rate (70,022 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.9% win rate (130,459 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.8% win rate (194,810 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.5% win rate (191,677 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.3% win rate (139,198 games)
  • 2500+: 39.5% win rate (28,438 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (47%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.3% win rate (5,253 games)
  • Bullet: 43.8% win rate (411,919 games)
  • Blitz: 44.5% win rate (334,839 games)
  • Rapid: 45.4% win rate (54,652 games)
  • Classical: 46.8% win rate (1,787 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (2,540 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (2,660 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (640 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (149 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (6,955 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (6,363 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (1,738 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (549 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (15,165 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (13,436 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (3,507 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.8% expected score (1,081 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (30,916 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (31,005 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (6,725 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (295 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (1,576 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (52,667 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (63,983 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (11,727 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (506 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.0% expected score (1,217 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (82,125 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (96,185 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (14,685 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (598 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.3% expected score (522 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (94,485 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (85,081 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (11,369 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.1% expected score (220 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 34.7% expected score (122 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (100,937 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (33,890 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (4,193 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (26,129 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (2,236 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (68 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Attack
51.3%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Attack: Symmetrical Defense
50.0%
King's Indian Attack: Sicilian Variation
53.3%
King's Indian Attack: Yugoslav Variation
50.5%
King's Indian Attack: Keres Variation
51.7%
King's Indian Attack: Wahls Defense
50.0%
Analyze King's Indian Attack: French Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 808K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Attack: French Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Attack: French Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.3% win rate for white (28K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (55.9%) outperforms Classical (46.0%) by 9.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation?

The King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 70K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 130K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 195K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 192K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 139K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.7%-57.0%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.7%) win rate for white (412K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate for white (335K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Attack: French Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.1%-48.0%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

Is the King's Indian Attack: French Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Attack: French Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.