King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3
790 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
35.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 38.6%.
Measured over 790 games at this level and clock.
White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 790 games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 790
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 26 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.1%
- Draws
- 4.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 39.5% at 0-999, 35.8% at 2200-2499.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | ||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (48 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.6% expected score (117 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (77 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 26.7% expected score (37 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.3% expected score (89 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 25.3% expected score (43 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (51 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 27.3% expected score (36 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 28.2% expected score (58 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (34 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.3% expected score (24 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 35.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 33.0% and 38.6% — from 790 Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 790+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games before we will say where it stops working. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 35.8% (range, 90% confident: 33.0% – 38.6%) for White, based on 790 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 perform best?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 performs best at 1600-1799, where it scores 47.2% for White (68 games). It tends to score less at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 better in blitz or rapid?
For White, Bullet (40.0%) outperforms Rapid (32.3%). Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 34.3% (range, 90% confident: 29.4% – 39.3%) for White, based on 243 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 31.6% (range, 90% confident: 25.9% – 37.5%) for White, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 40.8% (range, 90% confident: 33.8% – 48.1%) for White, based on 124 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 32.4% (range, 90% confident: 25.4% – 39.8%) for White, based on 112 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 40.0% (range, 90% confident: 34.0% – 46.0%) for White (177 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 35.8% (range, 90% confident: 31.8% – 39.8%) for White (384 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 32.3% (range, 90% confident: 27.2% – 37.6%) for White (213 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.
Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 a good opening?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 is hard work for White — it favours Black with a 33.3% (range, 90% confident: 30.6% – 36.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.