King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3
790 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
35.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 38.6%.
Measured over 790 games at this level and clock.
White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 790 games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 790
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 26 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.1%
- Draws
- 4.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 39.5% at 0-999, 35.8% at 2200-2499.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | ||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (48 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.6% expected score (117 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (77 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 26.7% expected score (37 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.3% expected score (89 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 25.3% expected score (43 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (51 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 27.3% expected score (36 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 28.2% expected score (58 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (34 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.3% expected score (24 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores 35.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 33.0% and 38.6% — from 790 Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 790+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate?
Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3, White wins 33.3%, draws 4.9% and loses 61.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 35.8%. It rests on 790 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 perform best?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 performs best for White at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 47.2% (68 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 35.8% in Blitz (384 games) against 32.3% in Rapid (213 games).
How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 30.5%, draws 7.6% and loses 62.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 34.3%. It rests on 243 Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 28.5%, draws 6.1% and loses 65.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 31.6%. It rests on 172 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 39.4%, draws 2.8% and loses 57.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.8%. It rests on 124 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 31.3%, draws 2.2% and loses 66.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 32.4%. It rests on 112 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 38.4%, draws 3.1% and loses 58.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.0%. It rests on 177 Lichess games.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 33.6%, draws 4.3% and loses 62.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 35.8%. It rests on 384 Lichess games.
What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 28.7%, draws 7.2% and loses 64.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 32.3%. It rests on 213 Lichess games.
Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 a good opening?
The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 33.3% of its games and loses 61.8%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.