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King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred

195 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score72.4%Range (90% confident): 67.1% – 77.5%Based on 195 games
0%72.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 67.1% – 77.5%
Outcome Distribution
71.0%2.8%26.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Bg7
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred
Analyzen=195
Avg Length26 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred has a 72.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 67.1% and 77.5%), based on 195 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 33%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 69.2% win rate (5 games)
  • 1400-1599: 71.4% win rate (16 games)
  • 1600-1799: 73.9% win rate (33 games)
  • 1800-1999: 70.1% win rate (62 games)
  • 2000-2199: 67.6% win rate (51 games)
  • 2200-2499: 68.6% win rate (24 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (85%), worst in Bullet (65%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 65.4% win rate (39 games)
  • Blitz: 67.7% win rate (116 games)
  • Rapid: 80.8% win rate (35 games)
  • Classical: 84.6% win rate (5 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 73.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 65.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 77.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred has a 26.2% (90% CI: 21.2%-31.5%) win rate for white, based on 195 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 29.5% win rate for white (51 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred has a 29.4% (90% CI: 22.7%-36.4%) win rate for white (116 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Paulsen Defense Deferred is slightly favors black with a 26.2% (90% CI: 21.2%-31.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.