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King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit

20K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score53.9%Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 54.5%Based on 20K games
0%53.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 54.5%
Outcome Distribution
51.9%3.9%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Ne5
King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit
Analyzen=20K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 53.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 54.5%), based on 20K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +15.3% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.9% win rate (78 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.8% win rate (330 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.6% win rate (1,238 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (3,857 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.2% win rate (6,894 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.7% win rate (5,374 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (1,776 games)
  • 2500+: 49.3% win rate (99 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (65%), worst in Blitz (52%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.0% win rate (3,761 games)
  • Blitz: 51.6% win rate (13,561 games)
  • Rapid: 51.8% win rate (2,276 games)
  • Classical: 65.3% win rate (59 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (126 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (179 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (322 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (794 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.6% expected score (119 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (779 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (2,626 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (442 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 80.5% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,049 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (4,946 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (870 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (879 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (3,821 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (661 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (511 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (1,111 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (151 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 20K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 45.0% win rate for white (5.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (44.3%) outperforms Classical (27.3%) by 17.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 40.0% (90% CI: 35.6%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 330 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 41.8% (90% CI: 39.5%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.0%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 43.6% (90% CI: 41.6%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.1%-45.8%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 42.7% (90% CI: 41.0%-44.5%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit is slightly favors black with a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.