222K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 49.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.6% and 50.0%), based on 222K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 45% → 47%
Best in Classical (56%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 222K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.0% win rate for white (5.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (49.2%) outperforms Classical (42.0%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.6 (very decisive), meaning 97.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 0.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.9%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.5%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 438 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.5%) win rate for white (76K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.3%) win rate for white (123K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.0%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit has a 42.0% (90% CI: 38.4%-45.6%) win rate for white (514 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Blachly Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.