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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack

4.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

58.1%

45%65%
Floor56.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 59.2%.

Measured over 4.9K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 4.9K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
4.9K
Best context
61.1% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Worst context
57.6% at 1400-1599 Blitz
Average game length
29 moves
Games that end decisively
96.6%
Draws
3.4%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 54.8% at 0-999, 72.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (45 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (100 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (281 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (122 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (143 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (508 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (213 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (168 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (633 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.8% expected score (318 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (114 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (502 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (267 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 64.8% expected score (93 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (350 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (138 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (257 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.2% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack scores 58.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 56.9% and 59.2% — from 4.9K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
4.9K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack, White wins 56.3%, draws 3.4% and loses 40.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 4.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack performs best for White at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 59.9% (892 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 58.3% in Blitz (2.9K games) against 58.2% in Rapid (1.2K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 54.4%, draws 2.4% and loses 43.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 187 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 52.9%, draws 4.0% and loses 43.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 514 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 56.7%, draws 2.2% and loses 41.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.8%. It rests on 869 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 57.3%, draws 2.5% and loses 40.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.6%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 58.0%, draws 3.7% and loses 38.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.9%. It rests on 892 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 57.3%, draws 3.9% and loses 38.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.3%. It rests on 579 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 52.9%, draws 5.6% and loses 41.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.7%. It rests on 455 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 55.3%, draws 6.5% and loses 38.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.6%. It rests on 267 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 57.0%, draws 1.9% and loses 41.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 851 Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 56.4%, draws 3.7% and loses 39.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.3%. It rests on 2.9K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 56.2%, draws 4.0% and loses 39.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.2%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 56.3% of its games and loses 40.2%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.