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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation

4.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score43.9%Range (90% confident): 42.7% – 45.1%Based on 4.9K games
0%43.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.7% – 45.1%
Outcome Distribution
42.5%2.7%54.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...g5
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation
Analyzen=4.9K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 43.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.7% and 45.1%), based on 4.9K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.8% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • 1200-1399: 38.5% win rate (31 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.5% win rate (115 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.9% win rate (421 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.0% win rate (1,486 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.3% win rate (2,025 games)
  • 2200-2499: 38.4% win rate (788 games)
  • 2500+: 37.1% win rate (16 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 42.1% win rate (782 games)
  • Blitz: 42.2% win rate (3,456 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (639 games)
  • Classical: 44.2% win rate (20 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 32.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (77 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 38.7% expected score (272 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (68 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.1% expected score (189 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (1,068 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (219 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (286 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (1,456 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (279 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (187 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (552 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.6%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 57.6% win rate for white (788 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (54.9%) outperforms Rapid (52.4%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 57.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-64.5%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 0.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 53.7%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 421 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 52.6%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.0%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 54.7%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 788 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 53.3%-59.1%) win rate for white (782 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.5%-56.3%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-55.6%) win rate for white (639 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.6%-56.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.