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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit

546 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.1%Range (90% confident): 43.6% – 50.6%Based on 546 games
0%47.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.6% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%1.9%52.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...b5
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit
Analyzen=546
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate1.9%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit has a 47.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.6% and 50.6%), based on 546 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -8.9% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 41% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.0% win rate (29 games)
  • 1000-1199: 67.6% win rate (17 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.8% win rate (26 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.1% win rate (52 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.3% win rate (70 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.6% win rate (137 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.4% win rate (137 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.8% win rate (75 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (82%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 45.1% win rate (106 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (328 games)
  • Rapid: 41.9% win rate (107 games)
  • Classical: 81.8% win rate (4 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 31.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (95 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 71.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 38.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 546 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 58.0% win rate for white (70 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.8%) outperforms Blitz (50.2%) by 5.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit has a sharpness score of 98.1 (very decisive), meaning 98.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 41.1%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 137 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 0.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 46.1%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 137 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 46.5%-62.2%) win rate for white (106 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-54.8%) win rate for white (328 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-63.5%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Kieseritzky Gambit is statistically balanced with a 52.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-55.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.