2.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 55.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 56.9%), based on 2.8K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 45% → 14%
Best in Classical (59%), worst in UltraBullet (53%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 43.2% (90% CI: 41.6%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 49.7% win rate for white (267 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (43.2%) outperforms Rapid (41.1%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 40.1%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 147 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 44.7%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 267 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 40.2% (90% CI: 36.4%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 463 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 42.3%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 595 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 38.2% (90% CI: 35.2%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 664 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 43.1% (90% CI: 39.4%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 473 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 38.0%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 150 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 41.2%-47.4%) win rate for white (697 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 43.2% (90% CI: 41.3%-45.2%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit has a 41.1% (90% CI: 37.0%-45.2%) win rate for white (394 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Gianutio Gambit is slightly favors black with a 43.2% (90% CI: 41.6%-44.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.