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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation

23K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 45.5% – 46.6%Based on 23K games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.5% – 46.6%
Outcome Distribution
44.7%2.7%52.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nf6
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation
Analyzen=23K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 46.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.5% and 46.6%), based on 23K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.5% win rate (148 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.8% win rate (454 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.4% win rate (1,207 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.0% win rate (2,941 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.5% win rate (5,386 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.6% win rate (7,001 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.6% win rate (4,677 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.1% win rate (1,579 games)
  • 2500+: 36.7% win rate (68 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 43.7% win rate (2,552 games)
  • Blitz: 45.0% win rate (14,053 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (6,435 games)
  • Classical: 43.7% win rate (421 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (64 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (66 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (103 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (256 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (92 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (172 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (788 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (245 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (312 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (1,860 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (716 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (450 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (2,995 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (1,816 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (125 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (580 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (4,109 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (2,120 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (192 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (545 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (2,867 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (1,221 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (44 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (293 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (1,082 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (202 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 23K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (7.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.5%) outperforms Classical (51.2%) by 3.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-63.1%) win rate for white, based on 148 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 45.9%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 454 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 52.8%-56.1%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.1%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.6%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-55.2%) win rate for white (421 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, First Jaenisch Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.