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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit

464 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score49.4%Range (90% confident): 45.6% – 53.2%Based on 464 games
0%49.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.6% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%3.5%48.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...b5
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit
Analyzen=464
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit has a 49.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.6% and 53.2%), based on 464 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -5.7% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 28% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 28.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.8% win rate (14 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.8% win rate (18 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.5% win rate (41 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.7% win rate (66 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.3% win rate (106 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.0% win rate (120 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.5% win rate (85 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (55%), worst in Classical (22%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (117 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (254 games)
  • Rapid: 55.0% win rate (83 games)
  • Classical: 21.7% win rate (10 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (66 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 37.8% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 464 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (120 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.9%) outperforms Rapid (40.8%) by 9.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit has a 39.5% (90% CI: 31.9%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 120 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-57.7%) win rate for white (117 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 44.8%-55.0%) win rate for white (254 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bryan Countergambit is slightly favors black with a 48.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-52.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.