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Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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2.Rh3
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

35.7%

30%55%
Floor35.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 36.2%.

Measured over 25K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 5.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 25K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
25K
Best context
50.3% at 2000-2199 Blitz
Worst context
17.5% at 1400-1599 Rapid
Average game length
30 moves
Games that end decisively
94.7%
Draws
5.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 29.5% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 30.9% at 0-999, 62.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (1,836 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 32.1% expected score (2,778 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.1% expected score (1,925 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 25.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (86 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 29.7% expected score (968 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.4% expected score (985 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 25.3% expected score (614 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 6.4% expected score (57 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 33.1% expected score (783 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 29.7% expected score (924 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 20.2% expected score (392 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 16.4% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 31.4% expected score (1,462 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 27.6% expected score (1,115 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 17.5% expected score (504 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 14.8% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (1,527 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 39.9% expected score (846 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (166 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 22.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (1,806 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (658 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.8% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (988 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,324 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (1,463 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.3% expected score (106 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (185 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (203 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Kádas Opening
45.1%
Variations (5)
Kádas Opening: Koola-Koola Variation
44.2%
Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit
48.0%
Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit
42.9%
Kádas Opening: Myers Variation
46.8%
Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit
54.8%
Analyze Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap scores 35.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 35.2% and 36.2% — from 25K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
25K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate?

Playing the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap, White wins 33.0%, draws 5.3% and loses 61.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 35.7%. It rests on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap perform best?

The Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 55.4% (390 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 35.7% in Blitz (8.9K games) against 27.2% in Rapid (3.7K games).

How sharp is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap?

The Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 27.0%, draws 8.7% and loses 64.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 31.4%. It rests on 6.6K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 25.9%, draws 5.6% and loses 68.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 28.7%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 27.5%, draws 4.6% and loses 67.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 29.8%. It rests on 2.3K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 26.7%, draws 3.7% and loses 69.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 28.6%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 39.3%, draws 3.3% and loses 57.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.9%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 41.0%, draws 3.0% and loses 56.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.5%. It rests on 2.6K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 45.7%, draws 4.1% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 44.4%, draws 4.5% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 1.6K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 52.7%, draws 5.2% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 390 Lichess games, which average 42 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 43.9%, draws 2.1% and loses 54.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.0%. It rests on 647 Lichess games.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 37.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 60.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 38.6%. It rests on 11K Lichess games.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 32.2%, draws 7.1% and loses 60.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 35.7%. It rests on 8.9K Lichess games.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 22.7%, draws 9.1% and loses 68.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 27.2%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 14.4%, draws 3.1% and loses 82.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 16.0%. It rests on 307 Lichess games.

Is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap a good opening?

The Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 33.0% of its games and loses 61.7%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.