Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit
7.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
47.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.0%.
Measured over 7.7K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 9.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 7.7K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 7.7K
- Best context
- 51.9% at 2000-2199 Bullet
- Worst context
- 46.0% at 0-999 Blitz
- Average game length
- 33 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 90.1%
- Draws
- 9.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 52.0% at 0-999, 40.8% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 65.4% expected score (18 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (439 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (1,001 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (582 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (182 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (423 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 32.8% expected score (155 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.1% expected score (48 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (191 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (282 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (129 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.5% expected score (19 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.6% expected score (102 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (223 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (331 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (133 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.2% expected score (106 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (252 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (179 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (42 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (261 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (420 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (140 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (238 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (531 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 33.2% expected score (82 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (176 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (587 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 38.3% expected score (41 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.7% expected score (53 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (191 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit scores 47.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.2% and 48.0% — from 7.7K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 7.7K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate?
Playing the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit, Black wins 42.1%, draws 9.9% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 7.7K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit perform best?
The Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit performs best for Black at 1400-1599, with an Expected Score of 51.0% (810 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 44.0% in Blitz (2.5K games) against 44.9% in Rapid (1.1K games).
How sharp is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit?
The Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit has a sharpness score of 90.1 (decisive), meaning 90.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 39.3%, draws 16.8% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 37.5%, draws 10.4% and loses 52.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.7%. It rests on 798 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 43.0%, draws 12.6% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 669 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 44.9%, draws 12.1% and loses 42.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 810 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 44.9%, draws 6.1% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 579 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 43.0%, draws 2.9% and loses 54.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 841 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 46.2%, draws 4.9% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 861 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 43.3%, draws 4.6% and loses 52.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.6%. It rests on 806 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 40.7%, draws 4.1% and loses 55.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.8%. It rests on 253 Lichess games, which average 41 moves.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 45.0%, draws 3.1% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 48.6%, draws 4.1% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 36.6%, draws 14.7% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.0%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games.
What is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 34.4%, draws 20.9% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games.
Is the Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit a good opening?
The Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 42.1% of its games and loses 48.0%. It performs best at 1400-1599. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.