Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit

140 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score56.8%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 63.5%Based on 140 games
0%56.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 63.5%
Outcome Distribution
54.8%3.9%41.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.d3
Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit
Analyzen=140
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit has a 56.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 63.5%), based on 140 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 57% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.5% win rate (10 games)
  • 1000-1199: 26.3% win rate (8 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • 1400-1599: 64.4% win rate (21 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (17 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.3% win rate (50 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.8% win rate (18 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (58%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 57.6% win rate (74 games)
  • Blitz: 51.3% win rate (56 games)
  • Rapid: 47.4% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit win rate?

The Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit has a 54.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 140 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit perform best?

The Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (50 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (57.6%) outperforms Blitz (51.3%) by 6.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit?

The Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

Is the Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit a good opening?

The Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit is statistically balanced with a 54.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-61.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.