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Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit

1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

45.1%

40%55%
Floor43.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 46.9%.

Measured over 1.9K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.9K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
1.9K
Best context
not measured yet
Average game length
30 moves
Games that end decisively
95.7%
Draws
4.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: −2.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.0% · UltraBullet best · Rapid worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 39.7% at 0-999, 52.1% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.6% expected score (83 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 32.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (64 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 28.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 35.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 33.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (167 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 37.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 35.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (75 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (135 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (289 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (67 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Kádas Opening
45.1%
Variations (5)
Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap
33.0%
Kádas Opening: Koola-Koola Variation
44.2%
Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit
48.0%
Kádas Opening: Myers Variation
46.8%
Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit
54.8%
Analyze Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit scores 45.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 43.2% and 46.9% — from 1.9K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
1.9K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate?

Playing the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit, White wins 42.9%, draws 4.3% and loses 52.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.1%. It rests on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit perform best?

The Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 58.2% (72 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 43.0% in Blitz (542 games) against 39.4% in Rapid (183 games).

How sharp is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit?

The Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 36.3%, draws 7.4% and loses 56.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.0%. It rests on 168 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 46.5%, draws 3.1% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 176 Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 38.4%, draws 4.5% and loses 57.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.7%. It rests on 208 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 41.9%, draws 2.2% and loses 55.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.0%. It rests on 248 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 44.7%, draws 3.3% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 259 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 46.3%, draws 1.8% and loses 51.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 196 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 43.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.2%. It rests on 225 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 42.9%, draws 4.4% and loses 52.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.1%. It rests on 328 Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 46.0%, draws 0.5% and loses 53.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 106 Lichess games.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 45.1%, draws 4.1% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 40.6%, draws 4.7% and loses 54.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.0%. It rests on 542 Lichess games.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 36.0%, draws 6.8% and loses 57.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.4%. It rests on 183 Lichess games.

Is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit a good opening?

The Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 42.9% of its games and loses 52.8%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.