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Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit

1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.1%Range (90% confident): 43.2% – 46.9%Based on 1.9K games
0%45.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.2% – 46.9%
Outcome Distribution
42.9%4.3%52.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c3
Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit
Analyzen=1.9K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 45.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.2% and 46.9%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -2.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.0% · UltraBullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.3% win rate (168 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.5% win rate (176 games)
  • 1200-1399: 38.4% win rate (208 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.9% win rate (248 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.7% win rate (259 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.3% win rate (196 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.5% win rate (225 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.9% win rate (328 games)
  • 2500+: 45.6% win rate (72 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (46%), worst in Classical (16%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.0% win rate (106 games)
  • Bullet: 45.1% win rate (1,041 games)
  • Blitz: 40.6% win rate (542 games)
  • Rapid: 36.0% win rate (183 games)
  • Classical: 15.8% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.6% expected score (83 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 32.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (64 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 28.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 35.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 33.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (167 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 37.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 35.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (75 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (135 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (289 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (67 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Kádas Opening
45.1%
Variations (5)
Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap
33.0%
Kádas Opening: Koola-Koola Variation
44.2%
Kádas Opening: Myers Variation
46.8%
Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit
48.0%
Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit
54.8%
Analyze Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate?

The Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 42.9% (90% CI: 41.0%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit perform best?

The Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 46.3% win rate for white (196 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.1%) outperforms Rapid (36.0%) by 9.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit?

The Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 36.3% (90% CI: 30.3%-42.4%) win rate for white, based on 168 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 40.4%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 176 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 38.4% (90% CI: 33.0%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 208 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 41.9% (90% CI: 36.8%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 248 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 44.7% (90% CI: 39.7%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 259 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 40.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 196 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 38.1%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 225 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 42.9% (90% CI: 38.5%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 328 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 38.2%-54.0%) win rate for white (106 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 45.1% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.7%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 40.6% (90% CI: 37.1%-44.1%) win rate for white (542 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit has a 36.0% (90% CI: 30.3%-41.9%) win rate for white (183 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit a good opening?

The Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit is slightly favors black with a 42.9% (90% CI: 41.0%-44.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.