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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line

71K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score44.0%Range (90% confident): 43.7% – 44.3%Based on 71K games
0%44.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.7% – 44.3%
Outcome Distribution
43.1%1.8%55.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Ke3
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line
Analyzen=71K
Avg Length21 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate1.8%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 44.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.7% and 44.3%), based on 71K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -5.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 96.0 · Trap factor: -16.2 · n=71K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.3% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.9% win rate (7,684 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.6% win rate (17,209 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.8% win rate (19,285 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.8% win rate (13,356 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.5% win rate (7,153 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.9% win rate (4,073 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.7% win rate (1,542 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (509 games)
  • 2500+: 49.8% win rate (132 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (31%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 30.5% win rate (69 games)
  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (19,212 games)
  • Blitz: 42.8% win rate (31,010 games)
  • Rapid: 40.1% win rate (19,963 games)
  • Classical: 38.5% win rate (689 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (2,445 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (3,756 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (1,463 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (4,348 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (8,332 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (4,461 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 34.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 31.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (4,475 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (8,331 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (6,300 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.1% expected score (156 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 25.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (3,582 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (5,097 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (4,418 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.7% expected score (246 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (2,133 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (2,801 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (2,061 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.7% expected score (154 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (1,257 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.1% expected score (1,791 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (960 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 35.0% expected score (65 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (557 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (709 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (269 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (291 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (186 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (124 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.8%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 71K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.5% win rate for white (509 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (30.5%) by 16.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a sharpness score of 98.2 (very decisive), meaning 98.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 21 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 41.9% (90% CI: 41.0%-42.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 18 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 42.6% (90% CI: 42.0%-43.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 19 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.1%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 42.5% (90% CI: 41.6%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 40.9% (90% CI: 39.7%-42.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 43.7% (90% CI: 41.6%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 509 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 132 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 9.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.4%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 42.8% (90% CI: 42.3%-43.3%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 40.1% (90% CI: 39.6%-40.7%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line has a 38.5% (90% CI: 35.4%-41.5%) win rate for white (689 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line is slightly favors black with a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.8%-43.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.