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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense

148K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score48.0%Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 48.2%Based on 148K games
0%48.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 48.2%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%3.7%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...h6
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense
Analyzen=148K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 48.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 48.2%), based on 148K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 40.6% win rate (846 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.7% win rate (3,473 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.3% win rate (9,674 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.6% win rate (20,625 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.9% win rate (34,478 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.3% win rate (39,986 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.1% win rate (26,869 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.7% win rate (11,194 games)
  • 2500+: 46.6% win rate (1,062 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.3% win rate (32 games)
  • Bullet: 48.7% win rate (40,765 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (79,008 games)
  • Rapid: 43.0% win rate (26,977 games)
  • Classical: 38.9% win rate (1,425 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (520 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.7% expected score (212 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (111 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (1,665 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (521 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 10.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (3,249 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (4,597 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (1,792 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 19.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (5,655 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (10,380 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (4,368 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (211 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (8,379 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (18,604 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (6,929 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (565 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (8,694 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (23,147 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (7,671 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (466 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (7,109 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (15,173 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (4,459 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (127 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (4,670 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (5,396 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (1,113 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (824 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (222 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 148K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 47.3% win rate for white (40K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.7%) outperforms Classical (38.9%) by 9.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 40.6% (90% CI: 37.9%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 846 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 0.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.3%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.5%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.1%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.1%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.3%) win rate for white (79K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 43.0% (90% CI: 42.5%-43.5%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense has a 38.9% (90% CI: 36.8%-41.1%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Polerio Defense, Suhle Defense is slightly favors black with a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.