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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation

521 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score56.6%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 60.2%Based on 521 games
0%56.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 60.2%
Outcome Distribution
54.6%3.9%41.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
11...Nc7
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation
Analyzen=521
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation has a 56.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 60.2%), based on 521 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +17.4% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~33%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 71.4% win rate (16 games)
  • 1200-1399: 67.9% win rate (39 games)
  • 1400-1599: 62.4% win rate (81 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (115 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.1% win rate (150 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.5% win rate (77 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.6% win rate (37 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (81%), worst in Rapid (52%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 55.5% win rate (113 games)
  • Blitz: 54.3% win rate (285 games)
  • Rapid: 51.5% win rate (114 games)
  • Classical: 81.0% win rate (9 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 66.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (72 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (90 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
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Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation has a 41.4% (90% CI: 37.9%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 521 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (77 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (41.7%) outperforms Rapid (41.1%) by 0.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 37.6%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 36.7%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 150 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation has a 43.2% (90% CI: 35.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (113 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 37.0%-46.5%) win rate for white (285 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation has a 41.1% (90% CI: 33.7%-48.7%) win rate for white (114 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fegatello Attack, Leonhardt Variation is slightly favors black with a 41.4% (90% CI: 37.9%-45.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.