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Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted

91K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.4%Based on 91K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.4%
Outcome Distribution
50.5%3.2%46.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Nxe4
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted
Analyzen=91K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 52.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.9% and 52.4%), based on 91K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +15.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.9% win rate (4,775 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.4% win rate (9,649 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (13,049 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (12,922 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.2% win rate (13,615 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.4% win rate (15,618 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.0% win rate (13,633 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.8% win rate (6,387 games)
  • 2500+: 35.8% win rate (1,176 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (51%), worst in UltraBullet (26%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 26.4% win rate (61 games)
  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (25,840 games)
  • Blitz: 51.3% win rate (45,062 games)
  • Rapid: 50.5% win rate (18,994 games)
  • Classical: 44.4% win rate (867 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (1,542 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (2,032 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (1,185 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 10.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (2,554 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (4,574 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (2,457 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.5% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (3,150 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (5,984 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (3,754 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (146 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 26.8% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (2,972 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (6,100 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (3,638 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (192 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (3,327 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (7,068 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (3,004 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (212 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (3,614 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (9,083 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (2,723 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (195 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (4,112 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (7,566 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (1,901 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 66.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (3,537 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (2,517 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (326 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.5% expected score (1,032 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.6% expected score (138 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 91K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted perform best?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 59.8% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (72.8%) outperforms Blitz (45.1%) by 27.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.9%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 40.0% (90% CI: 39.4%-40.6%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 39.3% (90% CI: 38.6%-40.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.5%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 59.8% (90% CI: 57.5%-62.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.9%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.7%-45.5%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.5%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a 51.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-54.2%) win rate for white (867 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted a good opening?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted is slightly favors black with a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.