Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted
91K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
52.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.4%.
Measured over 91K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for Black at this level and clock.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 91K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 91K
- Best context
- 61.9% at 2000-2199 Rapid
- Worst context
- 38.5% at 2500+ Bullet
- Average game length
- 28 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.8%
- Draws
- 3.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 36.0%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (1,542 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (2,032 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (1,185 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 10.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (2,554 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (4,574 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (2,457 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.5% expected score (58 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (3,150 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (5,984 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (3,754 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (146 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 26.8% expected score (20 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (2,972 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (6,100 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (3,638 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (192 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (3,327 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (7,068 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (3,004 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (212 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (3,614 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (9,083 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (2,723 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (195 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (4,112 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (7,566 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (1,901 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 66.9% expected score (46 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (3,537 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (2,517 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (326 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.5% expected score (1,032 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.6% expected score (138 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted scores 52.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.9% and 52.4% — from 91K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 91K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate?
Playing the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted, Black wins 50.5%, draws 3.2% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 91K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted perform best?
The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted performs best for Black at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 58.4% (14K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 53.1% in Blitz (45K games) against 52.3% in Rapid (19K games).
How sharp is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted?
The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 44.9%, draws 2.3% and loses 52.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 4.8K Lichess games, which average 22 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 43.4%, draws 2.2% and loses 54.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 9.6K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 46.1%, draws 2.4% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 48.1%, draws 2.5% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 53.2%, draws 3.2% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 56.4%, draws 3.6% and loses 40.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.2%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 56.0%, draws 4.7% and loses 39.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.4%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 49.8%, draws 4.7% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 6.4K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 35.8%, draws 4.4% and loses 59.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 38.0%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 49.4%, draws 2.2% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 26K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 51.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 45K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 50.5%, draws 3.7% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 19K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 44.4%, draws 4.2% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.5%. It rests on 867 Lichess games.
Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted a good opening?
The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Double Gambit Accepted is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 50.5% of its games and loses 46.3%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.