TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack

164K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 51.5%Based on 164K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.1% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%7.4%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Nc3
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack
Analyzen=164K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.4%

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 51.5%), based on 164K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +37.9% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.3% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 73% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 73.1% win rate (314 games)
  • 1000-1199: 67.9% win rate (1,210 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.4% win rate (2,495 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.9% win rate (4,474 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.3% win rate (11,482 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.4% win rate (32,880 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.7% win rate (56,217 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.3% win rate (44,966 games)
  • 2500+: 47.8% win rate (10,354 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.4% win rate (26 games)
  • Bullet: 49.4% win rate (50,573 games)
  • Blitz: 46.9% win rate (91,118 games)
  • Rapid: 46.7% win rate (21,126 games)
  • Classical: 40.1% win rate (1,549 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.4% expected score (158 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.5% expected score (79 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 78.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 65.0% expected score (439 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 72.4% expected score (419 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 68.8% expected score (347 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 64.5% expected score (740 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 64.5% expected score (959 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (769 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 69.2% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (1,236 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (1,897 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (1,223 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (114 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (2,961 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (6,185 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (2,094 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (240 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (6,391 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (21,290 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (4,707 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (491 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (11,416 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (36,454 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (7,792 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (551 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (18,668 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (22,169 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (4,001 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (121 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (8,564 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (1,666 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (117 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Continuations (1)
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line
49.2%
Analyze Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 164K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 73.1% win rate for white (314 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.4%) outperforms Classical (40.1%) by 9.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a sharpness score of 92.6 (decisive), meaning 92.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 73.1% (90% CI: 68.9%-77.1%) win rate for white, based on 314 Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 0.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 67.9% (90% CI: 65.7%-70.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 63.4% (90% CI: 61.8%-65.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 57.9% (90% CI: 56.7%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 45.7% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 9.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.8%) win rate for white (51K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.2%) win rate for white (91K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.3%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a 40.1% (90% CI: 38.1%-42.2%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.