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Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line

1.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.6%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 56.7%Based on 1.5K games
0%54.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 56.7%
Outcome Distribution
49.2%10.8%40.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
11.Bg5
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line
Analyzen=1.5K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness89%
Draw Rate10.8%

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 54.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 56.7%), based on 1.5K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +8.8% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.7% · Bullet best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 55%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1400-1599: 73.3% win rate (6 games)
  • 1600-1799: 33.3% win rate (9 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.6% win rate (113 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.6% win rate (607 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.7% win rate (647 games)
  • 2500+: 55.4% win rate (124 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (57%), worst in Classical (23%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 57.4% win rate (355 games)
  • Blitz: 46.7% win rate (1,045 games)
  • Rapid: 46.9% win rate (102 games)
  • Classical: 23.1% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399————
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 63.1% expected score (79 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (484 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (158 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (441 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.3% expected score (89 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line win rate?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line perform best?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.4% win rate for white (124 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (57.4%) outperforms Rapid (46.9%) by 10.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a sharpness score of 89.2 (moderately decisive), meaning 89.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 40.0%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 45.2%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 607 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 10.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 48.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 647 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 11.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 55.4% (90% CI: 48.1%-62.6%) win rate for white, based on 124 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 12.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 57.4% (90% CI: 53.0%-61.6%) win rate for white (355 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-49.2%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line has a 46.9% (90% CI: 38.9%-54.9%) win rate for white (102 Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.0%.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line a good opening?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.