Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack
164K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
51.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.5%.
Measured over 164K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 7.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 164K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 164K
- Best context
- 64.5% at 1200-1399 Bullet
- Worst context
- 45.9% at 2000-2199 Classical
- Average game length
- 34 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 92.6%
- Draws
- 7.4%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 72.6% at 0-999, 53.0% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.4% expected score (158 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.5% expected score (79 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 78.4% expected score (76 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 65.0% expected score (439 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 72.4% expected score (419 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 68.8% expected score (347 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 64.5% expected score (740 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 64.5% expected score (959 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (769 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 69.2% expected score (22 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (1,236 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (1,897 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (1,223 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (114 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (2,961 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (6,185 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (2,094 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (240 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (6,391 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (21,290 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (4,707 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (491 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (11,416 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (36,454 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (7,792 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (551 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (18,668 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (22,169 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (4,001 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (121 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (8,564 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (1,666 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (117 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack scores 51.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.1% and 51.5% — from 164K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 164K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate?
Playing the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack, White wins 47.6%, draws 7.4% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 164K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack perform best?
The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack performs best for White at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 73.2% (314 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 51.0% in Blitz (91K games) against 51.0% in Rapid (21K games).
How sharp is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack?
The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack has a sharpness score of 92.6 (decisive), meaning 92.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 73.1%, draws 0.2% and loses 26.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 73.2%. It rests on 314 Lichess games, which average 20 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 67.9%, draws 1.7% and loses 30.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 68.8%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 22 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 63.4%, draws 2.2% and loses 34.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 64.5%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games, which average 23 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 57.9%, draws 2.8% and loses 39.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.4%. It rests on 4.5K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 52.3%, draws 4.0% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 47.4%, draws 6.0% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 45.7%, draws 7.8% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 56K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 46.3%, draws 9.3% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 45K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 47.8%, draws 9.6% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 10K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 49.4%, draws 5.6% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 51K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 46.9%, draws 8.1% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 91K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 46.7%, draws 8.6% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 21K Lichess games.
What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 40.1%, draws 13.2% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games.
Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack a good opening?
The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Anderssen Attack is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 47.6% of its games and loses 45.0%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.