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Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack

2.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score42.8%Range (90% confident): 41.0% – 44.6%Based on 2.1K games
0%42.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.0% – 44.6%
Outcome Distribution
40.3%5.0%54.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Nc3
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack
Analyzen=2.1K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 42.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 41.0% and 44.6%), based on 2.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.2% · Blitz best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 41%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1400-1599: 34.9% win rate (20 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.6% win rate (145 games)
  • 1800-1999: 37.6% win rate (644 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.7% win rate (740 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.3% win rate (443 games)
  • 2500+: 41.4% win rate (77 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (42%), worst in Rapid (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 39.3% win rate (544 games)
  • Blitz: 42.3% win rate (1,236 games)
  • Rapid: 33.1% win rate (275 games)
  • Classical: 41.5% win rate (19 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (104 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (433 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 29.3% expected score (95 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 37.0% expected score (148 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (472 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (116 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (194 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (209 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.2% expected score (62 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 40.3% (90% CI: 38.5%-42.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 43.3% win rate for white (443 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (42.3%) outperforms Rapid (33.1%) by 9.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 40.6% (90% CI: 34.0%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 37.6% (90% CI: 34.5%-40.7%) win rate for white, based on 644 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 40.7% (90% CI: 37.7%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 740 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 43.3% (90% CI: 39.5%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 443 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 39.3% (90% CI: 35.9%-42.8%) win rate for white (544 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 42.3% (90% CI: 40.0%-44.6%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack has a 33.1% (90% CI: 28.5%-37.8%) win rate for white (275 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Holzhausen Attack is slightly favors black with a 40.3% (90% CI: 38.5%-42.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.