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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit

1.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score61.6%Range (90% confident): 59.7% – 63.5%Based on 1.7K games
0%61.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 59.7% – 63.5%
Outcome Distribution
60.1%3.0%36.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...b5
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit
Analyzen=1.7K
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 61.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 59.7% and 63.5%), based on 1.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.7% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 54% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.9% win rate (406 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.3% win rate (424 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.1% win rate (356 games)
  • 1400-1599: 63.2% win rate (262 games)
  • 1600-1799: 62.9% win rate (163 games)
  • 1800-1999: 61.6% win rate (74 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.7% win rate (25 games)
  • 2200-2499: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (71%), worst in Bullet (54%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 53.7% win rate (316 games)
  • Blitz: 58.5% win rate (639 games)
  • Rapid: 63.4% win rate (708 games)
  • Classical: 70.6% win rate (53 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (84 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (148 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (174 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (70 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (163 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 68.4% expected score (183 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (138 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.5% expected score (150 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (106 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 72.2% expected score (100 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 75.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 68.1% expected score (51 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 66.5% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 60.1% (90% CI: 58.1%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 63.1% win rate for white (356 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (63.4%) outperforms Bullet (53.7%) by 9.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 406 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 60.3% (90% CI: 56.4%-64.2%) win rate for white, based on 424 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 63.1% (90% CI: 58.8%-67.2%) win rate for white, based on 356 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 63.2% (90% CI: 58.3%-68.0%) win rate for white, based on 262 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 62.9% (90% CI: 56.7%-69.0%) win rate for white, based on 163 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-58.3%) win rate for white (316 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 58.5% (90% CI: 55.3%-61.7%) win rate for white (639 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit has a 63.4% (90% CI: 60.4%-66.3%) win rate for white (708 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fontaine Countergambit is statistically favors white with a 60.1% (90% CI: 58.1%-62.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.