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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.4%Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.9%Based on 25K games
0%51.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.9%
Outcome Distribution
49.4%3.9%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...d6
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense
Analyzen=25K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 51.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.9%), based on 25K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~45%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.0% win rate (193 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (518 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.3% win rate (1,163 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.3% win rate (2,072 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.1% win rate (4,041 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (6,754 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.2% win rate (6,710 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.3% win rate (3,379 games)
  • 2500+: 45.8% win rate (325 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (52%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (7,234 games)
  • Blitz: 49.1% win rate (14,043 games)
  • Rapid: 49.7% win rate (3,700 games)
  • Classical: 52.4% win rate (177 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (84 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (74 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (148 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (210 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (158 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (345 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (536 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (271 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (621 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (1,040 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (386 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (1,064 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (2,307 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (623 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,618 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (4,143 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (926 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (67 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (1,683 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (4,058 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (945 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (1,487 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (1,578 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (312 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (233 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 48.9% win rate for white (2.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.3%) outperforms Classical (41.2%) by 6.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 52.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 193 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 518 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 45.0% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 44.9%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.5%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 325 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.3%) win rate for white (7.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.4%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-47.1%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense has a 41.2% (90% CI: 35.2%-47.3%) win rate for white (177 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Bronstein Defense is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.