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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score53.5%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 54.0%Based on 33K games
0%53.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%5.1%43.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Na5
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line
Analyzen=33K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 53.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 54.0%), based on 33K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.8% win rate (37 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.9% win rate (176 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.7% win rate (684 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (1,700 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.2% win rate (3,873 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.5% win rate (7,735 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.6% win rate (10,601 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (7,517 games)
  • 2500+: 36.9% win rate (1,114 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (57%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (8,790 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (20,459 games)
  • Rapid: 51.3% win rate (3,989 games)
  • Classical: 56.9% win rate (198 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 62.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (90 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (65 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (322 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (298 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (674 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (809 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (208 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (1,103 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (2,257 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (478 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (1,581 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (5,071 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (1,005 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.4% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (1,822 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (7,207 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (1,514 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.7% expected score (57 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (2,498 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (4,335 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (674 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (678 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (403 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 48.6% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.1%) outperforms Classical (34.3%) by 10.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 39.2% (90% CI: 33.2%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 176 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 45.4% (90% CI: 42.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 684 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 43.4% (90% CI: 42.5%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.3%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.4%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 15.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.2%-46.0%) win rate for white (8.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.5%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 41.9% (90% CI: 40.7%-43.2%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line has a 34.3% (90% CI: 28.9%-39.9%) win rate for white (198 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Variation, Cordel Line is slightly favors black with a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.